Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 25.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 27.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| O/U 31.5 | 86% |
| Vikings O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| O/U 34.5 | 81% |
| Packers O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Vikings O/U 17.5 | 75% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 71% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Packers O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 69% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 61% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 59% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| Packers 1H O/U 8.5 | 53% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+ | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-20 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 48% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 48% |
| Packers 1H O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 41% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 51.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Vikings O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| O/U 55.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| O/U 57.5 | 21% |
| Packers O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Spread -21.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 15% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 61.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 12% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
Market context
Packers vs. Vikings — current market-implied probability: 97%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If the game is postpone…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $119K.
Methodology
This page compares Packers vs. Vikings specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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