Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 95% |
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 27.5 | 92% |
| O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| O/U 29.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 86% |
| O/U 31.5 | 84% |
| O/U 32.5 | 83% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| Commanders O/U 10.5 | 82% |
| O/U 33.5 | 80% |
| Eagles O/U 18.5 | 80% |
| Commanders O/U 12.5 | 79% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 78% |
| O/U 35.5 | 77% |
| O/U 34.5 | 77% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 76% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 74% |
| Commanders O/U 13.5 | 74% |
| O/U 36.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| O/U 37.5 | 71% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 70% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 68% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| O/U 38.5 | 67% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Eagles O/U 21.5 | 65% |
| O/U 39.5 | 64% |
| Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Commanders O/U 16.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| O/U 40.5 | 60% |
| O/U 41.5 | 59% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 57% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| O/U 42.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 55% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Eagles O/U 15.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| O/U 43.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Commanders vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 25+ | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 13-18 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-12 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Commanders O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 46% |
| O/U 45.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 44% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 43% |
| Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 46.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Commanders O/U 20.5 | 40% |
| O/U 47.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 48.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 36% |
| Commanders O/U 22.5 | 36% |
| Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Commanders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| O/U 49.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | 32% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 31% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 31% |
| O/U 50.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| O/U 52.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| O/U 53.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| Commanders O/U 23.5 | 24% |
| Commanders O/U 25.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Commanders O/U 26.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-6 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| O/U 54.5 | 20% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| O/U 55.5 | 19% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 56.5 | 17% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 16.5 | 17% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Commanders O/U 28.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| O/U 58.5 | 13% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 60.5 | 12% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| Commanders O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 62.5 | 9% |
| O/U 61.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| O/U 63.5 | 7% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 67.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
The Commanders vs. Eagles prediction market currently prices this outcome at 95% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders". If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles". If the game is post…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $103K.
Methodology
We read Commanders vs. Eagles from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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