Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CD Los Chankas O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CD Los Chankas (-1.5) | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association (-1.5) | 0% |
| CD Los Chankas (-2.5) | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CD Los Chankas O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CD Los Chankas O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CD Los Chankas 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CD Los Chankas 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Sport Boys Association 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Peru Liga 1 Clausura fixture between CD Los Chankas and Sport Boys Association, scheduled for 12:00 PM ET on 19 July 2026 at Estadio Los Chankas, concluded with a 1–0 victory for Los Chankas[2]. This definitive result means any “YES” outcome on additional markets tied to this match has already failed, aligning with the current 0% crowd-implied probability.
Historically, Peru Liga 1 matches involving lower-table sides like Los Chankas often produce low-scoring, tight contests, with over 2.5 goals occurring in fewer than 35% of Clausura games in recent seasons[1]. The 1–0 finish mirrors this pattern, reinforcing how traditional books like Betfair or Smarkets, which display decimal odds, would have priced such outcomes at 2.50–3.00 for a narrow win, whereas Polymarket’s implied probability format collapses this to near-zero once the result is known.
Traders comparing platforms should note that Kalshi requires full KYC and operates under US regulation, limiting access to Peru Liga 1 markets, while Polymarket offers global access with lower fees but no KYC for smaller trades. With the match settled, no further catalysts—such as lineup announcements or schedule changes—remain relevant. The divergence in fee structures and regulatory reach between these books is stark here: Kalshi users cannot trade this market, whereas Polymarket and Betfair users can only confirm the outcome, not speculate further[1].
Methodology
We read CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Trade CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Mar… on Kalshi Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →