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Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

St Mirren FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $479K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
St Mirren FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC O/U 1.5100%
St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Falkirk FC (-1.5)0%
Falkirk FC (-2.5)0%
St Mirren FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Falkirk FC O/U 0.50%
Falkirk FC O/U 1.50%
Falkirk FC O/U 2.50%
St Mirren FC O/U 2.50%
Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Falkirk FC’s meeting with St Mirren FC has already been played, so a “more markets” contract on that fixture should be read as a settled historical event rather than an open football price. BBC coverage records a 0-2 St Mirren win, with Killian Phillips scoring both goals, while earlier head-to-head context showed Falkirk had won only two of the previous 12 top-flight meetings and St Mirren had taken six of nine league visits to Falkirk, which is the sort of form profile that would have supported a modest away bias before kick-off.[2][5][6]

That makes the current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES unsurprising, because there is no live outcome left for Polymarket-style “YES/NO” pricing to chase once the result is known. On Betfair, Smarkets and traditional books, the same event would normally be shown as decimal odds before kick-off, then voided or settled after full-time; prediction markets instead express the same view as an implied probability, with fees and access rules varying by venue, particularly around KYC and jurisdictional reach. Here, the market should be compared with the match report and line-score rather than with pre-match prices, since the underlying settlement condition has already been resolved.[2][4][14][17]

For traders comparing platforms, the practical catalysts on Scottish Premiership football are usually confirmed team news, late injuries and any schedule changes, but none of those can now move this contract because the BBC live page has already published the final score. If you are benchmarking books, the key divergence is presentation: one venue may quote a 2.00-style decimal price, another a percentage, but all converge to the same settled state once the match finishes. In this case, the only relevant dependency is whether the market’s resolution rules track the official match result, which the available reports do.[1][2][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
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