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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $454K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs Team Liquid (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs Team Liquid (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs Team Liquid (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs Team Liquid (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-9.5) vs Team Liquid (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Heretics and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 18 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" i…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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