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Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs?

Cross-platform snapshot for "Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs?": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Colorado Avalanche 93% Dallas Stars 90% Edmonton Oilers 87% Carolina Hurricanes 86% Volume: $56K Liquidity: $344K Closes: 16 Apr 2027
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Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Colorado Avalanche93%
Dallas Stars90%
Edmonton Oilers87%
Carolina Hurricanes86%
Vegas Golden Knights85%
Florida Panthers82%
Minnesota Wild78%
Tampa Bay Lightning77%
Washington Capitals70%
Utah Mammoth66%
Montreal Canadiens63%
Los Angeles Kings57%
San Jose Sharks56%
Toronto Maple Leafs55%
New Jersey Devils54%
Anaheim Ducks52%
Buffalo Sabres52%
Ottawa Senators47%
Philadelphia Flyers45%
Columbus Blue Jackets40%
St. Louis Blues36%
New York Rangers35%
Boston Bruins34%
Pittsburgh Penguins33%
Winnipeg Jets32%
Nashville Predators28%
New York Islanders27%
Detroit Red Wings25%
Seattle Kraken17%
Chicago Blackhawks14%
Calgary Flames13%
Vancouver Canucks7%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, which teams will make the nhl playoffs? stands at 93% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team makes the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A team will be considered to have made the Playof…

Methodology

We read Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs? from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Trade Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs? on Kalshi Alternative UK

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