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US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff

Cross-platform snapshot for "US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.5 64% US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5 62% Completed Match 50% US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Game Spread +/-5.5 50% Volume: $121K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.564%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.562%
Completed Match50%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Game Spread +/-5.550%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 21.541%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 9.540%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 22.539%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Total Sets: O/U 2.531%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 23.529%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner23%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 2 Winner21%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 10.521%
US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 64% probability to us open wta: paula badosa vs coco gauff. This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Coco Gauff in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if P…

Methodology

We read US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Trade US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff on Kalshi Alternative UK

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Related Topics

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