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Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score

Which venue prices "Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Real Madrid CF 2 - 5 Sevilla FC 49% Real Madrid CF 3 - 5 Sevilla FC 49% Real Madrid CF 4 - 5 Sevilla FC 49% Real Madrid CF 5 - 4 Sevilla FC 49% Volume: $189K Liquidity: $348K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
49% 51% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
49% 51% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Real Madrid CF 2 - 5 Sevilla FC49%
Real Madrid CF 3 - 5 Sevilla FC49%
Real Madrid CF 4 - 5 Sevilla FC49%
Real Madrid CF 5 - 4 Sevilla FC49%
Real Madrid CF 5 - 5 Sevilla FC49%
Real Madrid CF 3 - 4 Sevilla FC48%
Real Madrid CF 4 - 4 Sevilla FC48%
Real Madrid CF 2 - 4 Sevilla FC45%
Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC37%
Any Other Score36%
Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Sevilla FC14%
Real Madrid CF 4 - 0 Sevilla FC14%
Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 Sevilla FC13%
Real Madrid CF 4 - 2 Sevilla FC13%
Real Madrid CF 5 - 1 Sevilla FC11%
Real Madrid CF 2 - 1 Sevilla FC10%
Real Madrid CF 5 - 2 Sevilla FC9%
Real Madrid CF 2 - 0 Sevilla FC8%
Real Madrid CF 5 - 0 Sevilla FC8%
Real Madrid CF 5 - 3 Sevilla FC8%
Real Madrid CF 3 - 2 Sevilla FC7%
Real Madrid CF 2 - 2 Sevilla FC6%
Real Madrid CF 4 - 3 Sevilla FC6%
Real Madrid CF 3 - 3 Sevilla FC3%
Real Madrid CF 2 - 3 Sevilla FC2%
Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 0 - 1 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 1 - 0 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 0 - 2 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 1 - 1 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 0 - 3 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 1 - 2 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 0 - 4 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 1 - 3 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 0 - 5 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 1 - 4 Sevilla FC0%
Real Madrid CF 1 - 5 Sevilla FC0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 49% YES probability for Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score. In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Madrid CF and Sevilla FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC…

Methodology

This page compares Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
and

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Related Topics

Sports