🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% O/U 3.5 Games 73% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Volume: $286K Liquidity: $380K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
Open live market →
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Odd/Even Total Kills56%
Odd/Even Total Kills56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Odd/Even Total Kills54%
Odd/Even Total Kills54%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Game 4 Winner49%
First Blood in Game 3?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?49%
Game 1 Winner48%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 3 Winner48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
First Blood in Game 4?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?47%
Match Winner46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors36%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?35%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Quadra Kill21%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Any Player Penta Kill7%
Any Player Penta Kill6%

Market context

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 78%. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

Trade LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invita… on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Kalshi Alternative UK.

See all markets →