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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 91% Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 79% Volume: $564K Liquidity: $618K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner91%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)79%
Game 3 Winner71%
Game 4 Winner66%
Game 2 Winner65%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?56%
O/U 3.5 Games54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?48%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs RED Canids (+2.5)43%
First Blood in Game 3?27%
O/U 4.5 Games18%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

The LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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