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LoL: GIANTX iTero vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: GIANTX iTero vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $252K Liquidity: $333K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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LoL: GIANTX iTero vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: giantx itero vs ⁠movistar koi fénix (bo3) - les regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX iTero and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 21 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: GIANTX iTero vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Trade LoL: GIANTX iTero vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES… on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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