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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 3.5 Games 71% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 64% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 63% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 62% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon57%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)53%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 3?52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?52%
First Blood in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?47%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Game 3 Winner40%
Game 1 Winner39%
Game 2 Winner39%
Game 4 Winner39%
O/U 4.5 Games34%
Match Winner30%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to lol: karmine corp vs dplus kia (bo5) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmin…

Methodology

We read LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World… on Kalshi Alternative UK

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