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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Any Player Penta Kill 94% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Match Winner 59% Game 1 Winner 56% Volume: $126K Liquidity: $537K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Penta Kill94%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Match Winner59%
Game 1 Winner56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Game 2 Winner55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
First Blood in Game 2?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor26%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%

Market context

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group — current market-implied probability: 94%. This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match ag…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Trade LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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