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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Match Winner 87% First Blood in Game 4? 71% Game 1 Winner 71% Game 2 Winner 71% Volume: $553K Liquidity: $830K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner87%
First Blood in Game 4?71%
Game 1 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner71%
Game 3 Winner71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)68%
Game 4 Winner63%
First Blood in Game 2?62%
First Blood in Game 3?62%
First Blood in Game 1?61%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor60%
Any Player Quadra Kill60%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?38%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)38%
Any Player Penta Kill38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?36%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
O/U 4.5 Games23%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 87% probability to lol: t1 vs karmine corp (bo5) - mid-season invitational play-in. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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