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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Which venue prices "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 85% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 68% Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds 62% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 56% Volume: $169K Liquidity: $740K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.585%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.568%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds62%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.556%
NRFI53%
Spread -1.551%
O/U 9.548%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.544%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings11%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 85% probability to philadelphia phillies vs. cincinnati reds. In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 9 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 85% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 85% Other 15%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $169K.

Methodology

This page compares Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports