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St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 63% O/U 7.5 56% NRFI 51% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.578%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.563%
O/U 7.556%
NRFI51%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.550%
O/U 8.548%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees42%
Spread -1.541%
O/U 9.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.538%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.536%
Spread -2.531%
Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
Spread -2.521%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees. In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 5 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 78% for "St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% Other 22%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.

Methodology

This page compares St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Trade St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports