Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 95% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| O/U 211.5 | 89% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 87% |
| O/U 213.5 | 86% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | 84% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 84% |
| O/U 215.5 | 82% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| O/U 217.5 | 79% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 77% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 77% |
| O/U 219.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 76% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 75% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 72% |
| O/U 220.5 | 72% |
| O/U 221.5 | 72% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 72% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 223.5 | 67% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 67% |
| Spread -7.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 66% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 64% |
| O/U 225.5 | 63% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| O/U 226.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 60% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 227.5 | 59% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 59% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 228.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 229.5 | 55% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 53% |
| O/U 230.5 | 52% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 231.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| O/U 233.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 45% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| O/U 236.5 | 39% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 38% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 37% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.5 | 35% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 35% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| O/U 239.5 | 33% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 33% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Spread -19.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 29% |
| O/U 242.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 27% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 24% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| O/U 245.5 | 22% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 18% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 13% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -36.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
Market context
Spurs vs. Mavericks — current market-implied probability: 95%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is post…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $362K.
Methodology
We read Spurs vs. Mavericks from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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