Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 87% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 87% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 86% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 85% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 83% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 76% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 76% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 76% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 73% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 73% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 71% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 70% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 70% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 68% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 66% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 63% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 61% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 60% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 58% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 56% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 55% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 54% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 52% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 47% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 47% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 46% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 45% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 43% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 41% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 34% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 34% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 32% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 32% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 31% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 29% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 27% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 26% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 24% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 23% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 20% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 20% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 20% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 20% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 20% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 19% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 17% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 17% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 17% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 16% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 15% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 15% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 15% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 14% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 14% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 14% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 13% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 12% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 11% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 10% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 9% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 8% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 5% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 2% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to cowboys vs. packers - player props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
Trade Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props on Kalshi Alternative UK
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