Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 100% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 100% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| De'Von Achane: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 50% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Chris Bell: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Chris Bell: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Justin Joly: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Justin Joly: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik Washington: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik Willis: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Noah Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Noah Gray: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ollie Gordon II: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Chris Bell: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Justin Joly: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Malik Washington: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Noah Gray: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, chiefs vs. dolphins - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chiefs and Dolphins, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
Trade Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props on Kalshi Alternative UK
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