Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 99% |
| O/U 33.5 | 92% |
| O/U 34.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 90% |
| Vikings vs. Saints | 87% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 87% |
| Spread -1.5 | 85% |
| Spread -2.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| O/U 37.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 82% |
| O/U 38.5 | 79% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 78% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 76% |
| Spread -3.5 | 74% |
| O/U 39.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 71% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 40.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 61% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 60% |
| Spread -8.5 | 58% |
| O/U 42.5 | 58% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings vs. Saints: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 43.5 | 39% |
| Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| O/U 44.5 | 38% |
| O/U 45.5 | 36% |
| O/U 46.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| O/U 48.5 | 21% |
| Spread -0.5 | 19% |
| O/U 47.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| O/U 50.5 | 12% |
| Spread -1.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| O/U 51.5 | 9% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -3.5 | 8% |
| O/U 53.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 56.5 | 7% |
| Spread -6.5 | 5% |
| Spread -8.5 | 5% |
| Spread -5.5 | 4% |
| Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| O/U 59.5 | 2% |
| O/U 61.5 | 2% |
| O/U 63.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| O/U 60.5 | 2% |
| O/U 64.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| O/U 62.5 | 1% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to vikings vs. saints. In the upcoming NFL football game between Vikings and Saints, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vikings" if Vikings win the game. This market will resolve to "Saints"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.5M.
Methodology
We read Vikings vs. Saints from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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