Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 27.5 | 95% |
| O/U 29.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 95% |
| Lions O/U 10.5 | 95% |
| O/U 24.5 | 93% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 92% |
| O/U 32.5 | 92% |
| O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| O/U 33.5 | 87% |
| O/U 35.5 | 86% |
| O/U 34.5 | 86% |
| Jets O/U 10.5 | 86% |
| O/U 36.5 | 82% |
| O/U 37.5 | 79% |
| O/U 38.5 | 78% |
| Lions O/U 20.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| O/U 39.5 | 74% |
| O/U 40.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| O/U 41.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 42.5 | 66% |
| O/U 43.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| O/U 44.5 | 60% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| O/U 45.5 | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 55% |
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| Lions 1H O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| O/U 47.5 | 52% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| Jets O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Jets O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Jets O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Lions O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Lions O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Lions O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Lions O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Lions O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Jets Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Lions Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Jets vs. Lions: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Jets Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Lions Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Jets 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jets 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Jets 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Jets 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jets 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jets 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jets 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jets 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| Jets O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| O/U 49.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 50.5 | 41% |
| Spread -8.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| O/U 51.5 | 38% |
| Spread -10.5 | 37% |
| Spread -11.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 36% |
| O/U 52.5 | 36% |
| O/U 53.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| 1H Moneyline | 32% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 32% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Jets vs. Lions | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| O/U 57.5 | 23% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 59.5 | 21% |
| Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 58.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| Spread -19.5 | 17% |
| O/U 60.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| O/U 61.5 | 15% |
| Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| O/U 62.5 | 14% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| O/U 63.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| O/U 64.5 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 9% |
| O/U 67.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to jets vs. lions. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Jets wins, the market will resolve to "Jets". If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If the game is postponed, this ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $291K.
Methodology
We read Jets vs. Lions from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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