Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 88% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 69% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 65% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 65% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 61% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 57% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 54% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 52% |
| Dallas Goedert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Dallas Goedert: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Hollywood Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Roschon Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Sam Roush: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Saquon Barkley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zavion Thomas: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 50% |
| Dallas Goedert: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 50% |
| Hollywood Brown: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 48% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 47% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 47% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Anytime Touchdown | 41% |
| DeVonta Smith: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 40% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Hurts: Anytime Touchdown | 39% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| DeVonta Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 33% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 33% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 32% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 32% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 31% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 28% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Kyle Monangai: Anytime Touchdown | 28% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| D'Andre Swift: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 28% |
| Jalen Hurts: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 28% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Luther Burden III: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Britain Covey: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Darius Cooper: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| E.J. Jenkins: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Johnny Mundt: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Kyle Monangai: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Makai Lemon: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Sam Roush: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Saquon Barkley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Tank Bigsby: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Will Shipley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Zavion Thomas: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Elijah Moore: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 26% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Caleb Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Dallas Goedert: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Hollywood Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| DeVonta Smith: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 26% |
| Jahdae Walker: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Luther Burden III: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Rome Odunze: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Roschon Johnson: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 25% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Dallas Goedert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 25% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 25% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Tank Bigsby: 2+ Touchdowns | 23% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 22% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 22% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 21% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 21% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 21% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 | 21% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 20% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 20% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Colston Loveland: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Luther Burden III: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 18% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 18% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 15% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Rome Odunze: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 13% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 13% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 13% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 13% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 12% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Makai Lemon: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Saquon Barkley: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 10% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 9% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 9% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 8% |
| D'Andre Swift: 2+ Touchdowns | 8% |
| Kalif Raymond: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 8% |
| Cole Kmet: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Johnny Mundt: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Tank Bigsby: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Will Shipley: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 7% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 7% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 7% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 7% |
| Darius Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 6% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 6% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 5% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 5% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| DeVonta Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Jahdae Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Kyle Monangai: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Elijah Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Britain Covey: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Colston Loveland: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
| E.J. Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Makai Lemon: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
| Roschon Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Sam Roush: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Zavion Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Cole Kmet: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Kalif Raymond: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Luther Burden III: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Rome Odunze: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Will Shipley: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Britain Covey: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Darius Cooper: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| E.J. Jenkins: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jahdae Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Johnny Mundt: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Elijah Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
Market context
The Eagles vs. Bears - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 88% YES. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Eagles and Bears, scheduled for September 28 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Eagles vs. Bears - Player Props specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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