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Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 97% O/U 1.5 88% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 87% Frosinone Calcio O/U 0.5 85% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 16 Oct 2026
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Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
O/U 1.588%
2nd Half O/U 0.587%
Frosinone Calcio O/U 0.585%
US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 0.583%
1st Half O/U 0.579%
Both Teams to Score72%
O/U 2.570%
US Sassuolo Calcio 2nd Half O/U 0.570%
Frosinone Calcio 2nd Half O/U 0.565%
2nd Half O/U 1.562%
Frosinone Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.556%
Frosinone Calcio O/U 1.555%
Frosinone Calcio 2nd Half (-1.5)55%
US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.554%
US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 1.553%
Frosinone Calcio 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half (-2.5)50%
Frosinone Calcio 1st Half (-2.5)50%
US Sassuolo Calcio 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
US Sassuolo Calcio 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
Frosinone Calcio 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
O/U 3.549%
US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half O/U 2.549%
Frosinone Calcio 1st Half O/U 3.548%
US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half O/U 3.547%
1st Half O/U 1.546%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half42%
2nd Half O/U 4.534%
2nd Half O/U 2.532%
O/U 4.528%
Both Teams to Score in First Half28%
Frosinone Calcio 2nd Half O/U 1.528%
Frosinone Calcio O/U 2.527%
US Sassuolo Calcio 2nd Half O/U 1.527%
US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 2.526%
Frosinone Calcio (-1.5)21%
1st Half O/U 2.520%
Frosinone Calcio 2nd Half O/U 2.520%
US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)18%
US Sassuolo Calcio 2nd Half O/U 2.518%
US Sassuolo Calcio 2nd Half O/U 3.518%
O/U 5.515%
Frosinone Calcio 1st Half O/U 1.513%
Frosinone Calcio 1st Half O/U 2.513%
US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half O/U 1.513%
Frosinone Calcio O/U 3.512%
Frosinone Calcio 1st Half (-1.5)11%
2nd Half O/U 3.510%
Frosinone Calcio (-2.5)9%
US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 3.59%
US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half (-1.5)9%
US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)8%
O/U 6.57%
1st Half O/U 3.57%
1st Half O/U 4.54%
Frosinone Calcio O/U 4.54%
Frosinone Calcio (-3.5)3%
US Sassuolo Calcio (-3.5)3%
Frosinone Calcio (-4.5)3%
US Sassuolo Calcio (-4.5)3%
Frosinone Calcio (-5.5)3%
US Sassuolo Calcio (-5.5)3%
O/U 7.53%
US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 4.53%
O/U 8.51%
Frosinone Calcio O/U 5.51%
US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 5.51%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, frosinone calcio vs. us sassuolo calcio - more markets stands at 97% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 16 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

We read Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Related Topics

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