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UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)

Which venue prices "UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 77% O/U 1.5 Rounds 74% Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil 63% O/U 2.5 Rounds 63% Volume: $138K Liquidity: $160K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds77%
O/U 1.5 Rounds74%
Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil63%
O/U 2.5 Rounds63%
Fight to Go the Distance?60%
Fight won by KO/TKO?27%
Young to win by KO/TKO?24%
Fight won by submission?14%
Dorsainvil to win by KO/TKO?8%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 77% YES. This market will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stan Dorsainvil at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 77% for "UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $138K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Li… on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets