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UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Stirling to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling 0% Volume: $598K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Stirling to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Blachowicz to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of ufc fight night: jan blachowicz vs. navajo stirling (light heavyweight, main card). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Jan Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Navajo Stirling at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, sched…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $598K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling … on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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