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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 99% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 99% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 99% Volume: $250K Liquidity: $229K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.599%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.599%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.599%
O/U 2.5 Games69%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.559%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)49%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)43%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)39%
Map 2 Winner36%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.524%
Match Winner21%
Map 1 Winner16%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5)1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between FURIA Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 26 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Espor…

Methodology

We read Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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