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Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $244K Liquidity: $492K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs All Gamers (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs AG.AL International (+5.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-7.5) vs Team Heretics (+7.5)48%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-6.5) vs Team Heretics (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs AG.AL International (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs All Gamers (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs All Gamers (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs AG.AL International (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs AG.AL International (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs AG.AL International (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: team heretics vs all gamers (bo3) - esports world cup group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Heretics and All Gamers in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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