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Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

31% YES 69% NO Volume: $441K Liquidity: $11K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
Trade on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi Alternative UK Pick
polygram.ink
31% 69% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
31% 69% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi Alternative UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi Alternative UK.

Active sub-markets

Merab Dvalishvili31% YES69% NO
Sean O'Malley14% YES86% NO
Song Yadong1% YES100% NO
Aiemann Zahabi1% YES99% NO
Mario Bautista1% YES99% NO
Other

Market context

Market consensus: 31% chance of who will be ufc bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim…

Methodology

We read Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026? from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live quote comes directly from the Polygon order book; the other three are listed with their platform attributes — fees, KYC, settlement currency, payment options — because a 1:1 contract comparison without API access would be guesswork.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Kalshi Alternative UK routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Kalshi Alternative UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi Alternative UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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