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Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Which venue prices "Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Completed Match 100% Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 21.5 100% Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $221K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 21.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 Winner100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 22.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 23.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela0%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 Winner0%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to bastad: noma noha akugue vs irene burillo escorihuela. This market refers to the tennis match between Noma Noha Akugue and Irene Burillo Escorihuela in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha…

Methodology

We read Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Trade Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela on Kalshi Alternative UK

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Related Topics

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