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Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen

Which venue prices "Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Completed Match 100% Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $207K Liquidity: $828K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen0%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 Winner0%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner0%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 22.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen. This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Broady and Alex Michelsen in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam B…

Methodology

This page compares Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative UK offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Newport: Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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