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LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 100% Volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 8 Oct 2026
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LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor91%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
First Blood in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: flyquest vs red canids (bo3) - demacia cup global invitational group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between FlyQuest and RED Canids in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 7:00 AM E…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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