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LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Which venue prices "LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $2.4M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 20 Sept 2026
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LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?78%
Game 4 Winner66%
Match Winner66%
Odd/Even Total Kills58%
Game 3 Winner53%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
O/U 4.5 Games50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?43%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)38%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)17%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)0%
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between LYON and Cloud9 in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON"…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Trade LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs on Kalshi Alternative UK

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