Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 99% |
| O/U 40.5 | 95% |
| O/U 34.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| NC State 1H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| NC State 1H O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 84% |
| Spread -5.5 | 84% |
| O/U 46.5 | 84% |
| Spread -6.5 | 82% |
| Spread -11.5 | 80% |
| Spread -9.5 | 79% |
| Spread -7.5 | 78% |
| O/U 36.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 76% |
| O/U 42.5 | 76% |
| Spread -12.5 | 75% |
| O/U 44.5 | 75% |
| Spread -13.5 | 74% |
| O/U 48.5 | 74% |
| Spread -10.5 | 72% |
| O/U 50.5 | 72% |
| Spread -14.5 | 70% |
| Spread -18.5 | 67% |
| O/U 52.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| Spread -15.5 | 62% |
| O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| NC State O/U 34.5 | 60% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| O/U 56.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| NC State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| NC State O/U 37.5 | 49% |
| O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| Appalachian State O/U 20.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -17.5 | 45% |
| O/U 62.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Spread -24.5 | 44% |
| Spread -21.5 | 43% |
| Spread -28.5 | 38% |
| O/U 66.5 | 38% |
| Appalachian State O/U 23.5 | 38% |
| Spread -19.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 36% |
| O/U 68.5 | 35% |
| Spread -27.5 | 34% |
| Spread -31.5 | 34% |
| Spread -34.5 | 33% |
| O/U 72.5 | 33% |
| O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| O/U 64.5 | 32% |
| O/U 74.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Spread -22.5 | 31% |
| Spread -30.5 | 28% |
| O/U 70.5 | 20% |
| Spread -6.5 | 6% |
| Spread -3.5 | 6% |
| Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| Appalachian State vs. NC State | 4% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Appalachian State vs. NC State. In the upcoming college football game between Appalachian State and NC State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appalachian State win the game…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $152K.
Methodology
We read Appalachian State vs. NC State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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