Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iowa vs. Washington | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Iowa O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Iowa O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Iowa O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Iowa O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Iowa O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Washington 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 99% |
| Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 99% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 99% |
| Spread -6.5 | 98% |
| Spread -7.5 | 95% |
| Spread -13.5 | 93% |
| Spread -10.5 | 93% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Washington 2H O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| Spread -14.5 | 89% |
| O/U 59.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| Spread -16.5 | 80% |
| Spread -20.5 | 75% |
| O/U 63.5 | 75% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -17.5 | 70% |
| O/U 61.5 | 70% |
| O/U 65.5 | 64% |
| O/U 67.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Spread -8.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 51% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Washington 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Iowa vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Iowa vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Iowa vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Iowa vs. Washington: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa vs. Washington: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa vs. Washington: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| O/U 71.5 | 44% |
| Washington O/U 23.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| O/U 73.5 | 38% |
| O/U 75.5 | 36% |
| O/U 69.5 | 31% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Iowa vs. Washington prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Washington, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Washingto…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
We read Iowa vs. Washington from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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