Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ohio State vs. Indiana | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Ohio State O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Ohio State vs. Indiana. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 100% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-17T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.9M.
Methodology
This page compares Ohio State vs. Indiana specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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