Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 82% |
| O/U 224.5 | 76% |
| O/U 227.5 | 72% |
| O/U 230.5 | 65% |
| O/U 232.5 | 61% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| O/U 233.5 | 58% |
| O/U 235.5 | 56% |
| O/U 236.5 | 53% |
| Pistons vs. Heat | 51% |
| O/U 237.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Duren: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Duren: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| O/U 238.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| O/U 240.5 | 44% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| O/U 243.5 | 38% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 35% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5 | 34% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 28.5 | 33% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 23.5 | 33% |
| Jalen Duren: Points O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| O/U 246.5 | 32% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 34.5 | 31% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 17.5 | 30% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 44.5 | 30% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 30% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 15.5 | 30% |
| John Collins: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 29% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| O/U 249.5 | 26% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 26% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 24.5 | 23% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Jalen Duren: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 22% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| John Collins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 19% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5 | 15% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 13% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Duren: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
Market context
The Pistons vs. Heat prediction market currently prices this outcome at 82% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed,…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
This page compares Pistons vs. Heat specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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