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Colts vs. Chiefs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Colts vs. Chiefs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 27.5 94% O/U 29.5 92% O/U 31.5 90% O/U 33.5 84% Volume: $446K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 21 Sept 2026
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Colts vs. Chiefs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 27.594%
O/U 29.592%
O/U 31.590%
O/U 33.584%
O/U 35.582%
O/U 37.577%
O/U 39.569%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q67%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q67%
O/U 41.563%
Spread -3.559%
O/U 43.557%
Spread -4.556%
O/U 44.556%
O/U 45.553%
Spread -5.551%
Safety?51%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q51%
2Q Moneyline51%
3Q Moneyline51%
2H Moneyline50%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-1350%
Team to Record Longest FG50%
Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Colts vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Colts Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.550%
O/U 46.549%
Exact Margin: Colts by 25+49%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 21+49%
Spread -6.548%
Exact Margin: Tie48%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-648%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 14-2048%
Exact Margin: Colts by 19-2447%
Exact Margin: Colts by 7-1247%
Exact Margin: Colts by 13-1846%
Exact Margin: Colts by 1-646%
O/U 47.545%
Spread -7.543%
O/U 48.542%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q41%
O/U 49.539%
1Q Moneyline39%
O/U 50.537%
Spread -10.535%
1H Moneyline34%
O/U 51.533%
O/U 53.529%
Colts vs. Chiefs28%
O/U 55.522%
O/U 57.520%
O/U 59.520%
O/U 61.520%
O/U 67.513%
O/U 65.512%
O/U 63.59%

Market context

The Colts vs. Chiefs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 94% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 8:20PM ET: If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the game is postponed, thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 27.5 at 94% for "Colts vs. Chiefs".

O/U 27.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $446K.

Methodology

This page compares Colts vs. Chiefs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
Is Kalshi available in the UK?
Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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Trade Colts vs. Chiefs on Kalshi Alternative UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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