Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 25.5 | 96% |
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| Bears O/U 10.5 | 96% |
| O/U 27.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 31.5 | 90% |
| O/U 32.5 | 88% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 33.5 | 86% |
| Bears 1H O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| O/U 34.5 | 84% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 80% |
| Bears O/U 19.5 | 79% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| O/U 39.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 74% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| Bears O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| O/U 41.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 70% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 66% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Bears O/U 23.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| O/U 43.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| O/U 44.5 | 60% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 45.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| O/U 46.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Bears O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 7-13 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Bears 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Bears 1H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Bears 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bears Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings vs. Bears: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 49% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Bears O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 19-24 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 13-18 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 14-20 | 49% |
| O/U 47.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-12 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 1-6 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Bears O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| O/U 48.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 25+ | 46% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 45% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Bears O/U 30.5 | 44% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 44% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 44% |
| Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| O/U 49.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 43% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 42% |
| Spread -17.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| O/U 50.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 39% |
| 1H Moneyline | 39% |
| Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Vikings vs. Bears | 35% |
| Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 52.5 | 35% |
| Bears Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 53.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Bears 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 56.5 | 26% |
| O/U 57.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 24% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 24% |
| Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| Spread -21.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Bears 1H O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 58.5 | 20% |
| O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 60.5 | 18% |
| Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Bears 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -19.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| O/U 61.5 | 14% |
| O/U 63.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 62.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 64.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, vikings vs. bears stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If the …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.8M.
Methodology
This page compares Vikings vs. Bears specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Vikings vs. Bears on Kalshi Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →