Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| O/U 65.5 | 100% |
| O/U 67.5 | 100% |
| O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| O/U 71.5 | 100% |
| O/U 73.5 | 100% |
| O/U 75.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 100% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Arizona State vs. Texas Tech. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas Tech, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $627K.
Methodology
This page compares Arizona State vs. Texas Tech specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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