Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| James Madison O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| James Madison O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| James Madison O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| James Madison O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 99% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion | 98% |
| O/U 37.5 | 98% |
| O/U 49.5 | 96% |
| O/U 51.5 | 95% |
| O/U 53.5 | 95% |
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| O/U 55.5 | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| Spread -9.5 | 83% |
| Spread -3.5 | 82% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 81% |
| Spread -6.5 | 80% |
| James Madison O/U 32.5 | 80% |
| O/U 41.5 | 76% |
| O/U 57.5 | 75% |
| Spread -14.5 | 74% |
| O/U 61.5 | 74% |
| Spread -11.5 | 73% |
| O/U 59.5 | 73% |
| Spread -13.5 | 72% |
| Spread -7.5 | 70% |
| O/U 45.5 | 70% |
| Spread -8.5 | 69% |
| Spread -12.5 | 68% |
| Spread -10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 63.5 | 66% |
| Spread -16.5 | 65% |
| Spread -19.5 | 62% |
| O/U 67.5 | 57% |
| O/U 65.5 | 54% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Spread -23.5 | 46% |
| Spread -26.5 | 41% |
| Spread -22.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to james madison vs. old dominion. In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and Old Dominion, scheduled for September 26 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game. This m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $553K.
Methodology
We read James Madison vs. Old Dominion from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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