Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon | 88% |
| Spread -2.5 | 87% |
| Spread -4.5 | 74% |
| Spread -5.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 54% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 78.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 38.5 | 38% |
| O/U 42.5 | 38% |
| UCLA O/U 20.5 | 37% |
| O/U 44.5 | 36% |
| O/U 48.5 | 36% |
| O/U 50.5 | 36% |
| O/U 54.5 | 33% |
| O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| UCLA O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 40.5 | 9% |
| Oregon O/U 41.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| Spread -4.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| O/U 46.5 | 3% |
| O/U 52.5 | 3% |
| Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -11.5 | 2% |
| Spread -12.5 | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| O/U 58.5 | 2% |
| O/U 60.5 | 2% |
| O/U 62.5 | 2% |
| O/U 70.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| O/U 64.5 | 1% |
| O/U 76.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ucla vs. oregon. In the upcoming college football game between UCLA and Oregon, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. This market will resolve to "Oregon" if O…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
We read UCLA vs. Oregon from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade UCLA vs. Oregon on Kalshi Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →