Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| USC 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| USC 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| USC 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 99% |
| O/U 43.5 | 98% |
| USC O/U 20.5 | 94% |
| O/U 49.5 | 92% |
| Penn State O/U 23.5 | 91% |
| USC O/U 23.5 | 90% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| O/U 45.5 | 82% |
| O/U 47.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| O/U 51.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| O/U 53.5 | 75% |
| O/U 55.5 | 75% |
| Spread -0.5 | 67% |
| O/U 57.5 | 65% |
| O/U 59.5 | 58% |
| O/U 61.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| O/U 63.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 51% |
| Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| USC O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| USC O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| USC O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| USC 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| USC 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| USC 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| USC O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Penn State O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| USC vs. Penn State | 42% |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 67.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| O/U 69.5 | 35% |
| O/U 65.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| O/U 75.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 71.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to usc vs. penn state. In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. This market will resolve to "Penn State"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $526K.
Methodology
This page compares USC vs. Penn State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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