Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 99% |
| O/U 34.5 | 99% |
| Lions O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| O/U 35.5 | 98% |
| O/U 37.5 | 98% |
| O/U 36.5 | 98% |
| O/U 40.5 | 96% |
| Lions 1H O/U 6.5 | 96% |
| O/U 41.5 | 94% |
| O/U 42.5 | 93% |
| O/U 43.5 | 92% |
| O/U 38.5 | 87% |
| O/U 46.5 | 85% |
| Lions O/U 19.5 | 85% |
| Lions O/U 20.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 83% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 83% |
| O/U 47.5 | 82% |
| O/U 48.5 | 82% |
| O/U 44.5 | 81% |
| O/U 45.5 | 81% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| O/U 49.5 | 78% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 77% |
| Lions O/U 23.5 | 74% |
| Lions O/U 26.5 | 74% |
| O/U 50.5 | 72% |
| O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 69% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 68% |
| O/U 52.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 65% |
| O/U 53.5 | 63% |
| O/U 54.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| O/U 55.5 | 60% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Lions vs. Panthers | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| O/U 56.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Lions O/U 27.5 | 54% |
| O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 53% |
| Lions O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Lions 1H O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Lions 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 53% |
| O/U 29.5 | 52% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lions 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Lions Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Lions vs. Panthers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Lions Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| O/U 60.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| O/U 58.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| O/U 59.5 | 36% |
| O/U 61.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 62.5 | 27% |
| Lions 1H O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| O/U 64.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| O/U 67.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Lions vs. Panthers. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 8:20PM ET: If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game is postponed, th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $8.2M.
Methodology
This page compares Lions vs. Panthers specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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