Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 89% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 89% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 88% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| O/U 34.5 | 83% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 82% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 79% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 78% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 67% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 55% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Saints vs. Giants | 51% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Saints vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 47% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 46% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 38% |
| Safety? | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 36% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 34% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 30% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| O/U 56.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 16% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Saints vs. Giants. In the upcoming NFL football game between Saints and Giants, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Saints" if Saints win the game. This market will resolve to "Giants" if…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $295K.
Methodology
This page compares Saints vs. Giants specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
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