Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% |
| Jackson to win by KO/TKO? | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% |
| Jackson in Round 2 | 100% |
| Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson | 0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% |
| Simon to win by KO/TKO? | 0% |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% |
| Simon in Round 1 | 0% |
| Simon in Round 2 | 0% |
| Simon in Round 3 | 0% |
| Jackson in Round 1 | 0% |
| Jackson in Round 3 | 0% |
| Decision or Draw | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: ricky simon vs. montel jackson (bantamweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Ricky Simon" if Ricky Simon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Montel Jackson at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $211K.
Methodology
We read UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative UK has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Polymarket vs Betfair Exchange: which is better for UK prediction trading?
- Betfair Exchange offers UKGC regulation, GBP settlement, and potentially tax-free winnings — but focuses on sports and politics only. Polymarket has deeper liquidity, 0% platform fee, global event coverage, and crypto/geopolitical markets Betfair doesn't offer. For UK traders: Betfair for regulated GBP sports markets; Polymarket for broader, global prediction events.
- Is Kalshi available in the UK?
- Kalshi is a US CFTC-regulated prediction exchange. UK residents can create accounts but must use USD and US payment methods. Kalshi's product range overlaps with Polymarket but with lower liquidity on most contracts. For UK traders, Polymarket typically offers better prices due to higher global volume.
Trade UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Ban… on Kalshi Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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